Categories: Family Office, Financial NewsPublished On: July 12th, 2021Comments Off on Market Update – 7/9/202117.8 min read
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The market fell on Thursday after the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq hit a new high on Wednesday. The media were immediately singling out investors worried that the epidemic would affect the speed of economic recovery.
The threat of Delta variant is not news. The key is how the market interprets the news instead of the news itself. Otherwise, the stock market should not rise to new highs on Friday.
In addition to the current epidemic, another issue may have a significant impact is the expiration of debt ceiling suspension at the end of July. Due to the debt ceiling suspension over the last two years, the government has been free to spend without worrying about the debt ceiling. After the debt ceiling suspension expires, the President and Congress must discuss whether to raise the debt ceiling or to impost the suspension again.
Back to 2011, during the Obama administration, the debt ceiling was used as an excellent negotiation tool for the Republican Party asking the Democrats to reduce debt and spending. Although the antagonism in 2011 did not trigger an economic recession, the disputes and the poor economic conditions in Europe afterwards caused the S&P 500 to fall from its July 2011 high by 15 %. Therefore, the probability of short-term market volatility has greatly increased.
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