泛宇財經速報 貸款資訊知曉 10-24-2022
mortgage
市場周事件 ▷▷▷
外國房地產投資者受到驚嚇,加州正在為此付出代價,未宣布的經濟衰退正在蔓延,加州的外國房地產投資也不例外。
自 2021 年下半年以來,美元一直主導著其他金融市場。強勢美元為美國提供了更好的匯率,這對前往其他國家的美國遊客來說聽起來不錯。然而,在經濟層面上,它給像加利福尼亞這樣的州帶來了麻煩——正如《紐約時報》所指出的,它是全球經濟的主要參與者。
根據布魯金斯學會的數據,在全球範圍內,當美元相對於其他貨幣升值時,商品價格就會下跌。換句話說,當美國走高時,其他全球經濟體就會走低。
其他國家投資者的負匯率導致購買力立即下降。就像 2022 年的抵押貸款利率上調導致買家購買力暴跌一樣,依賴匯率的國際買家現在為同樣價格的房屋支付更多費用。
結果是現在所有類型的買家都不願意或無法支付與今年早些時候一樣高的價格。
由於抵押貸款利率飆升以及買家進入螺旋式上升市場的意願下降,加州的房價已經開始回落。除了這些市場壓力之外,嚴重依賴外國投資的地區和行業的需求也在下降。
中國所有權的幽靈
在目前擁有加州房產的眾多國際買家中,最多的投資者來自中國。
一位中國買家,他於 2021 年 1 月在加利福尼亞州購買了房屋。
當時,人民幣 (¥) 的交易價格為每 1 美元 =6.48日元。購買價格為 1,000,000 美元,相當於 6,480,000 日元。
2022 年 10 月,交易價格為每 1 美元 = 7.22 日元。換句話說,使用人民幣購買美元變得更加昂貴。然而,在 2021 年 1 月購買並在今天出售的買家基本上看到他們的投資從 6,480,000 日元增長到 7,220,000 日元。由於美元走強,這增加了 740,000 日元或 102,493 美元。
換句話說,中國投資者更有可能在這種高匯率環境下嘗試賣出而不是持有投資,尤其是在當今價格下跌的情況下——而且在這種壓迫性的匯率條件下最不可能購買。
2021 年,中國在國內外的投資開始放緩,而且下降趨勢似乎並未停止。
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