財經零距離 – 11/05/2021
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【市場更新】
1. 週三聯準會釋放的訊息與之前一致: 將開始減少在市場購買債券的金額，並在2022年中期時完全停止。至於眾所矚目的升息問題，聯準會主席則是表示暫時沒有打算，對市場也產生了一定的激勵作用，市場持續創新高。
2. 著名的不動產公司Zillow宣布因其依賴炒房(home-flipping)的電腦程式未有效運作，導致巨額虧損，Zillow將結束該炒房業務。之前幾週，Zillow已以人力不足、庫存太多為由，宣布不再買進新房。有消息指出Zillow為出高價搶房修改了原始的電腦程式，導致其出價過高。某分析師估計Zillow目前的存貨中有2/3買價高於目前的市價。
- 不動產是整體資產配置中不可或缺的一環，但這不代表任何時間都是以投資為目的買房的好時機，在疫情之後這段期間，房價在諸多原因下推動飆高，不論是對短期炒房或是長期收租的收益率有重大的影響。
- 另一方面，許多目前被市場寄與厚望的新型態公司，往往是因為其新穎的想法獲得投資人認同而享有高估值，但未必能經得起考驗。Zillow的估價是許多人買房時參考的對象，但如果Zillow本身都無法依賴自己產生的數據獲利，投資人應該謹慎評估包括Zillow在內諸多公司是否真值得如此高的估值。(在暴跌後，Zillow本益比已降至”較”合理的>100x)
(Source: Refinitiv Workspace)
3. 中國的採購經理人指數連兩個月處於衰退(小於50)，主要由於內需較弱、大宗商品價價上漲以及營建活動趨緩造成。此外，中國持續採取嚴格手段控制疫情(請見疫情更新)，同時政府建議民眾囤積日用品以因應緊急狀況的新聞皆進一步加深中國、甚至全球經濟趨緩的疑慮。
4. 虛擬貨幣”魷魚幣”(Squid，與劇集Squid Game無關))在數分鐘內由$2,800的高點跌至$0.003，雖然崩跌理由尚未確定，但被懷疑是開發人員惡意結束、捲款潛逃。據估計，在崩跌後仍有40,000餘名投資人持有該幣。
(Source: The Daily Shot)
- 雖然主流金融機構已逐漸接受虛擬貨幣，但在缺乏監管下，投資人仍應選擇較具知名度的幣別(如:比特幣、乙太幣等)或可靠的交易所。如果缺乏相關知識，應該諮詢專業經理人或是請專業團隊代為操作。
【疫情更新】
1. 東南亞國家確診人數降低，工廠重新開工，對供應鍊的壓力得以緩解。另一方面，面對目前確診人數出現的省份超過2019年Covid-19首次出現於中國時的情形，中國將持續採取零容忍措施，但本次影響範圍包括與國際直接接觸較少的二、三線城市，過去的嚴格控管手段是否仍能奏效值得觀察。
2. 歐洲爆發新一波疫情，德國連兩天確診人數創新高。
圖片來源：網絡，版權歸原作者
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