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部分分析師大概會將美債利率高於中國利率歸因於美國通膨嚴重，但一來通貨膨脹未必是長期現象(見下文)，另外美國利率走高或是物價上漲依然有一部分是美國經濟過熱導致。此外，從技術上來看，2019以來人民幣對美元的漲勢已經接近盡頭，未來美元對人民幣升值機率不低。
